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‘Strategic patience’ key for Beijing in South China Sea and other disputes

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2026年1月14日
2 min read
Beijing China disputes East China Sea Hu Bo Japan Key Manila maritime disputes Modern Ship patience Philippines Sea South South China Sea South China Sea Strategic Situation Probing Initiative (SCSPI) strategic territorial claims Tokyo United States Western Pacific

‘Strategic patience’ key for Beijing in South China Sea and other disputes

Beijing should exercise “strategic patience” in managing its maritime disputes, with provocations to be expected from the Philippines in the South China Sea and Japan in the East China Sea, according to a leading Chinese analyst.

Hu Bo, director of the South China Sea Strategic Situation Probing Initiative (SCSPI), delivered his message in an article published this month in the latest issue of defence journal Modern Ship.

There have been continuous tensions between Beijing and its uneasy neighbours Manila and Tokyo over territorial claims at sea. In his article, Hu predicted that actions by the Philippines and Japan were unlikely to cease.

“For China, this means recognising the complexity and long-term nature of disputes in both seas, exercising strategic patience and becoming accustomed to the normality of maritime disputes rather than rushing unilaterally to ease or resolve them,” he wrote.

Hu advised against over-anxiety and overreaction. Despite the need to stay highly vigilant, China should have sufficient confidence in its own strength and capabilities in managing the issues and keep a calm mindset, he said.

‘Strategic patience’ key for Beijing in South China Sea and other disputes插图

09:23

History, money and military: why the South China Sea is so important to Beijing

Maritime disputes between Beijing and some of its neighbours – particularly Japan and the Philippines – have frequently become geopolitical flashpoints in recent years, with coastguard confrontations and competition for resources, largely rooted in overlapping territorial claims.

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